By: William Smythe
As I write this, North Carolina just dropped a road contest to Virginia Tech – who held as much as an eighteen-point advantage over the Heels – in what is their fourth consecutive loss of the season. By virtue of such a result, Carolina is automatically launched into the ugly category. Cassell Coliseum’s vaunted home environment will not suffice as an excuse this time, Tar Heel nation, as the chinks in your armor are too gaping to ignore. There’s no chance a one-seed has fallen this fast in the history of college basketball – D3, D2, JUCO all-included.
Carolina, however, isn’t the only juggernaut fighting demons this season. No. 14 Gonzaga – who started as the no. 2 ranked team in the country – has already suffered three losses and has made the burden on Drew Timme’s shoulder the size of the Puget Sound. They’re not necessarily in the ugly category like Carolina, but the preseason title contenders are going to have a tough time putting together a compelling resume come March. Alright, that’s probably enough coverage of depressing teams for the moment. Who’s actually surprised this year…yes, let’s start with that.
The Good: The Moody Center, T.J. Otzelberger and Zach Edey
Texas is back, folks, and I’m not happy about it! No matter the chatter surrounding the ‘Horns, they’ve played themselves into a national no. 2 ranking after wins against Gonzaga and no. 7 Creighton – all in their cozy new arena, the Moody Center.
I really want Texas to like, finally leave Austin and play a challenging road game, but two top-ten wins have pretty much put away any doubts of Chris Beard’s coaching success. There’s depth to this roster that you can’t ignore. Nine – yes, nine – players have averaged at least 15 minutes a game for the ‘Horns this season. I can’t help but ask: has Beard stolen the recipe of Florida State’s Leonard Hamilton?
Also in the Big 12, Iowa State just refuses to underperform under Coach T.J. Otzelberger. Everyone thought a fluke year in 2021-22 would result in another catastrophe the following season, yet Otzelberger – the Lincoln Riley of college basketball – had something to say about it.
As Transfer Portal U, Iowa State picked up two sneaky additions in St. Bonaventure products Jaren Holmes and Osun Osunniyi – both of whom are averaging double-figures in scoring. There’s been a complete overhaul in terms of the roster, but the results speak for themselves. Wins over North Carolina (hey, they hadn’t lost at that point) and a formerly undefeated St. John’s have given Cyclones’ fans plenty of reason to rejoice.
Lastly, Purdue’s Zach Edey is everything Boilermakers fans wanted him to be. He’s not the only seven-footer to grace the court under Matt Painter, but he may end up being the best. Averaging 23.3 points and 12.8 rebounds so far this season, Edey looks more destined for success than Neo from The Matrix. Maybe it was forward Trevion Williams’ departure that’s opened up his game, or maybe it’s the fact that Edey has become an accomplished passer.
1. If you double him in the post, Purdue’s shooting guards will make you pay from deep. 2. If you isolate him on the inside, he’ll take that tiny basketball and dunk it through the net, no problem. The only reason why Purdue currently holds a top-five spot is Edey – America’s current frontrunner for NPOY.
The Bad: Oregon’s weird seven-footer trio, any team who plays Rutgers in the RAC
Oregon looks off. What team rolls out three-seven footers – all five-star recruits – and loses four out of their first eight games? I’d bank on Dana Altman figuring it out at some point, but the formula for this team hasn’t exactly worked thus far.
Against Houston, the Ducks looked confused against a high-octane defense (two of their starting guards/forwards – Will Richardson and Quincy Guerrier – totaled 11 turnovers), even if starting center N’Faly Dante exploded onto the scene with 16 points and 11 rebounds. This “bad” designation could turn into an “average” or even good one if these pieces come together, but the Ducks just lost again to UCLA and are now 4-5…
RUTGERS DOESN’T LOSE IN THE RAC! No, I will not call it “Jersey Mike’s Arena!” Boasting a 6-0 record in their home arena – including an emphatic 63-48 win over no. 10 Indiana, the Scarlet Knights have defended their ground like no one I’ve ever seen. In 2021, Steve Pikiell (who’s been pounding nails, of course) led his group to a 4-1 record at the RAC against top-25 teams, with one of the wins coming against no. 1 Purdue.
Now that I’m writing this, obviously I should have put the “RAC” in the list of the good, but let’s spin it on its head and consider all of the poor teams that have to play there this season. And Jersey Mike’s Arena is about as heinous of a rebranding as the Carrier Dome turning into the JMA Wireless Dome.
The Ugly: UNC in every aspect, Creighton losing at home to Nebraska
Dare I say more about the Tar Heels? They’re 5-4, just lost their ACC opener to Virginia Tech and look like the shell of the National Championship (appearance) team from last season. However, we shouldn’t be that surprised.
North Carolina looked shaky last year before going on that incredible run in the tournament, and the loss of Brady Manek has honestly hurt the Tar Heels more than expected. Four losses – consecutively, as well – is out-of-this-world surprising if we consider the returning talent that Hubert Davis has. It’ll take a massive effort from UNC to rebuild their stock from the ground up – I’m talking very, very few losses in ACC play to give them a chance at a top-four seed in March.
Creighton just suffered something awfully close to the epitome of brutality. Losing to lowly, in-state opponent Nebraska at home…by 10? I don’t want to pump the brakes completely on the Bluejays’ hype, but they’ve just dropped three straight and their resume is fading fast. If you’re Creighton, you have to hope that the Arkansas win ages well.
What’s mind-boggling is that the Cornhuskers held this dynamic Bluejay offense to a mere 53 points (no one in the starting lineup scored more than 10). South Dakota State transfer Baylor Scheierman has looked suspect from the three-point line in the past two games, while the Bluejays turned the ball over 16 times in their worst performance of the season. The Creighton experiment better figure itself out, fast.



