By: Spencer McCraw
I don’t think it’s an overreaction at all to say that this year’s national champion will come from the Big 12 – they could realistically get eight teams in the dance, so they’ll have a good shot! Now that they are in the full swing of conference play, let’s take a look at the competition.
Kansas: Could they repeat?
Bill Self’s bread and butter for the past two decades has been drawing up sets to get the ball down low to their big men – take Udoka Azubuike or Joel Embiid as prime examples. This year, though, they don’t have a true big man, and they operate with five players on the perimeter. This new scheme is the most radical change to his gameplan.
In place of the traditional big man is 6’7 sophomore forward K.J. Adams. After starting off slowly, Adams has averaged 12.7 points and 3.7 rebounds per game since their loss to Tennessee. Adams doesn’t play on the perimeter, but he fills the role of the small-ball big very well.
Alongside Adams is junior forward and National Player of the Year candidate Jalen Wilson, freshman phenom Gradey Dick, one of the best point guards in the country in Dajuan Harris, and Texas Tech transfer and defensive maestro Kevin McCullar.
Now with Adams playing well in his role, the sky’s the limit for this Jayhawk squad. Could they be the first team to repeat since the Gators with Joakim Noah? There’s a real chance. With the top five disrupted to such an extent this week, Bill Self’s team looks like the strongest in the country.
TCU: The Sleeping Giant
What a time to be alive if you are a fan of the TCU Horned Frogs! With the football team in the national championship and the basketball team no. 17 in the country with a 13-1 record, there has never been a better time to be a fan of the Frogs.
There was not much national buzz around this TCU team at the end of their out-of conference schedule – even after boasting only one loss. That was mainly due to the fact that they hadn’t played anyone particularly impressive. That has all changed now that they are in the full swing of conference play. Their first game saw them scrape out a six-point victory over a solid Texas Tech squad.
On Wednesday night, they traveled to Waco to take on the Baylor Bears. It was a tale of two halves for the Horned Frogs, as Baylor took a ten-point lead going into half, but TCU battled back to steal a one-point victory from the Bears. Junior guard Mike Miles was sensational with 33 points, and a gutsy block from Xavier Cork stymied a game-winning layup from Baylor.
After this victory, the country will certainly have to take note of this TCU squad going forward, as they could be one of the teams to beat in this stacked conference.
Texas: Coach or no coach, they’re still great
There has been a lot of controversy surrounding the Texas men’s basketball program and their head coach. With Chris Beard no longer coaching, Associate Head Rodney Terry has been thrust in as the leader of this team. Under Terry, the offense has slightly improved, while the defense has declined.
The Longhorns are averaging 19.6 assists per game under Terry with a season high 28 coming against Texas A&M Commerce. The backcourt of Texas is something that will keep them in pretty much every game.
Led by senior Marcus Carr – who is averaging 18.2 points and 4.2 assists – paired with sophomore Tyrese Hunter, the Longhorns have one of the best backcourts in the country. Throw into the mix senior Sir’Jabari Rice off the bench, and you have a three-headed monster at the guard position.
During this stretch under Terry, they haven’t been playing the highest level of competition. Tuesday saw their first big test with Kansas State coming into town.
To put it bluntly, the Longhorns got embarrassed on Tuesday. Kansas State won 116-103, and the home court advantage didn’t seem as daunting as it had against both Gonzaga and Creighton. Texas allowed K-State to walk into the Moody Center and put up 58 in each of the halves.
Coach Terry is going to need to figure out something on the defensive end if the Longhorns want to make it far in this conference.
Iowa State: Proven in non-conference play
The wizard of Otz has completely turned around this program. The year before T.J. Otzelberger took over as head coach for the Cyclones, they went 2-22. In his first season, they went 22-13 and lost in the second round of the tournament. This year he has his squad sitting at 11-2 – boasting a no. 25 ranking in the newest AP Poll.
To start the season, the Cyclones participated in the PK85 tournament in Portland. They opened up play against Villanova – winning by two – and then handed then-no. 1 UNC their first loss of the season. In the championship game, they lost to what would later become a no. 2 ranked UConn. Even with the loss, this early-season tournament was a massive test to show the world how good Coach Otz’ squad could be.
This team has EXPERIENCE. Seven of their eight leading scorers are seniors, with guard Jaren Holmes leading the way with 13.5 points per game. Caleb Grill led the scoring with 20 points for the Cyclones in Wednesday’s win at Oklahoma. The win in Norman was yet another in-conference test for Iowa State – who also have a win over Baylor.
The Cyclones might not have one guy that could drop 30 every night, but they have a bunch of guys that play well together and have experience. They’ve had a tough schedule thus far in the uber-deep Big 12, and they’ve made the most of it. Look out for Iowa State come March.
Kansas State: The lights of Manhattan aren’t too bright
There are a lot of great stories in college basketball this year. Not many are as good as the one in Manhattan, Kansas. Jerome Tang – a former assistant of Scott Drew’s at Baylor – is in his first year of being a head coach, and has turned around a team that has not seen a winning season since the 2018-19 season.
At the heart of this team is senior guard Keyontae Johnson. Johnson, a top-70 recruit out of Norfolk, Virginia, was set to make a big impact at Florida before he had to be placed in a medically-induced coma due to heart issues. Many thought there was no chance that Johnson would be able to return to competitive play again, but yet here he is, leading K-State to a 13-1 record – all while averaging 18.4 points and 6.9 rebounds per game.
Paired with Johnson is senior guard Markquis Nowell – a sensational floor general who averages 15.9 points and 8.5 assists per game. Patrolling the paint is another native of Harlem (like Nowell), the junior big man Nae’Qwan Tomlin – who brings home 11.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game.
This is an experienced team with an optimistic and energetic coach. After dismantling Texas at the Moody Center, K-State will likely crack the top-25, and if they stay the course, will remain there for the rest of the year.
Baylor: The most in trouble?
Since 2003, Scott Drew has been quietly building a national title-level program, and in the 2020-21 season, his efforts paid off – bringing the first title home to Waco. With this recent success comes high expectations every year. This campaign has been no different.
This Baylor team has some incredible talent, as they possess one of the best guard trios in the country in Adam Flagler, L.J. Cryer and freshman phenom Keyonte George. The problem, though, is that there is only one ball to go around and only 30 seconds on the shot clock. Scott Drew hasn’t quite figured out how all three of these pro-level guards can play with each other.
The struggles show, as they currently sit at 10-4 with losses to UVA, Marquette, Iowa State and TCU. The silver lining is that all of these losses are quad-one losses, but Baylor needs to start winning these important games.
With how deep the Big 12 is this year, if Baylor doesn’t start winning some games – particularly the ones in Waco – then they are going to be left behind. This team has the talent to go far, but they just need to find a way to put it all together.
Takeaway: Wins are as important as ever in the Big 12 – 2022-23’s foremost conference.